Reality-Graded Forecast Audit for UK Small-Cap Research Publishers

A forecast-accountability system for UK small-cap research boutiques, newsletter writers, and independent analysts who publish investable claims into the market. Instead of judging private memos before an IC meeting, the product ingests public research notes, extracts explicit forward claims with time bounds and resolution criteria, and tracks them to real-world outcomes: trading updates, profit warnings, fundraises, contract wins, guidance changes, price thresholds, and timing slippage. AE then produces a reality-graded scorecard and six-pattern autopsy showing how a thesis failed or survived: whether caveats were laundered away, timing/transmission was ignored, or confidence outran evidence. The buyer is not a secretive fund uploading proprietary material; it is a publisher, platform, allocator, or compliance-minded research brand that wants auditable proof that its research process is disciplined rather than cosmetically persuasive. This uses AE's actual strengths: explicit claim structuring, under-24h grading once events land, objective external resolution, and portable institutional memory across analysts and vintages.

AE is well matched to UK small-cap research publishers because it converts public, event-driven investment claims into auditable track records that strengthen credibility, compliance, and subscriber trust.

Engine verdict: GATHER_MORE_SIGNAL (WORTH_SKIMMING). Clear product insight, but recurring demand from UK research publishers is still hypothesis, not evidence.