Forecast QA for Investment Committee Memos

A pre-circulation quality gate for investment committee memos, market theses, and internal allocation notes at small hedge funds, family offices, and specialist asset managers. Instead of helping pundits publish cleaner narratives, it pressure-tests internal claims before capital is committed. AE flags severed premises, concession laundering, cosmetic confidence, temporal blindness, and missing falsifiers, then rewrites the memo into an auditable forecast structure: core claim, assumptions, disconfirming evidence, time horizon, observable resolution criteria, and calibrated confidence. After circulation, the same claims are tracked against public outcomes and internal review dates, creating a reality-graded archive of which analysts and thesis types actually held up. This uses AE's real strengths: adversarial multi-model debate, code-enforced grading loops, structured constraints, and sub-24h feedback tied to objective outcomes rather than style. The buyer incentive is different from publishers: better IC discipline, fewer thesis drift errors, cleaner post-mortems, and a durable internal edge in decision quality rather than public narrative management.

Forecast QA for IC memos is compelling because it turns narrative investment writing into auditable, reality-scored forecasts, directly improving capital-allocation discipline in a way generic AI research tools do not.

Still in evaluation (phase: ranked). No verdict yet.