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Add v2_a11 evidence-emergence axis to filter_score

council rejected AXIS reversible: simple 4h proposed 3 Jun 2026
What is the proposed change?
Insert new axis v2_a11 ('evidence_emergence_shape') after v2_a10 in the axis array. Score 0-3 based on whether the hypothesis explicitly predicts a future observable evidence event with a bounded date window: 0 = no observable event named; 1 = event named but no deadline; 2 = event + deadline + ambiguous observer; 3 = event + deadline + named observer/data source. Add axis weight constant matching A1-A10 baseline. Update the composite-score sum to include A11. Add axis to the axes-rubric block in the LLM scoring prompt and to the JSON schema the prompt expects back.
Target files
hypothesis_engine/moves/filter_score.js
Expected effect
Forecaster-shaped candidates (per S183 pivot) score 2-3 on A11; legacy product-shape candidates (e.g. SENTINEL-retread, 847f7e-shape) score 0-1. Composite-score spread between shapes widens by 2-3 points, making the forecaster lane separable at the filter stage rather than at council.
Falsifier — what would prove this wrong?
Rerun A11 over the 43 graduated candidates in engine.db plus the last 100 filter_rejected. If A11 score distribution shows no rank correlation (Spearman <0.3) with the S157 NBJ sweep's ROBUST vs FRAGILE classification, the axis is measuring noise, not shape — remove it.
Evidence that triggered the proposal
  • D — brain/MANIFESTO.md (v4.0 Honest/Deflated, S183 pivot to evidence-emergence forecaster)
  • D — brain/V2_FILTER_DESIGN_v2.3.md (current A1-A10 axes)
  • E — engine.db filter_score rows for 43 graduated candidates

Proposer self-score

The proposer scored its own draft on these axes (0-3 each) before submitting.

AxisScore
specificity3
falsifier3
solo feasible3
blast radius2
composability3
reversibility3
Disposition
Rejected at the council verdict. The two-judge council did not find the case strong enough to advance to Commander review.

Evaluation history

WhenMove
2026-06-12 05:11meta_council_verdict
2026-06-12 04:49meta_argument
2026-06-12 04:09meta_filter_score
2026-06-03 04:03meta_genesis